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Can Strategic Research Drive Dubai Industrial Success?

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Organization news and financial news, analysis, opinion and data covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic development throughout the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to speed up in 2026, with the area projected to surpass its 2025 efficiency regardless of muted oil incomes and ongoing international uncertainties. According to a new Oxford Economics research instruction, GCC GDP growth is anticipated to increase to 4.4 per cent in 2026, up from 4 percent in 2025, reflecting a resilient nonenergy sector, strong consumer characteristics, and slowly enhancing oil output.

The newest forecasts suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to gain back momentum, buoyed by reinforcing domestic demand and a broadly stable global backdrop. The report highlights GCC consumers as a major motorist of the region's economic efficiency heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing real disposable incomes are anticipated to sustain a rise in consumer spending across the Gulf.

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Credit development is also forecast to remain raised as access to monetary services broadens. With GCC main banks anticipated to follow awaited US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, obtaining costs are likely to decline, giving households and services further inspiration to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's strength, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a blended image.

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This might weigh on firsthalf development, especially for economies more depending on oil extraction. However, Oxford Economics forecasts a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as inventories tighten and international demand improves. Qatar, meanwhile, stands out as a local outperformer, with considerable expansions in gas production and exports anticipated to lift its overall financial efficiency.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan prepares for a 6 percent cut in capital expenditure as the kingdom aims to narrow its financial deficit by two percentage points. Nevertheless, the report keeps in mind that these cuts may not materialise totally if countercyclical spending procedures are activated to support growth. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their development agendas.

In spite of shortterm threats tied to oil rates and international need, the GCC's 2026 economic outlook is specified by strength in basics: resilient consumers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil dynamics, and strategic financial planning. With these elements aligning, the region is preparing for one of its most well balanced periods of growth in current years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP growth.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council local economies are expected to remain resistant in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly steady worldwide economy, according to an analysis. In its most current report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the real gross domestic item of the GCC area is anticipated to broaden by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the predicted 4 percent this year.

US trade policy under President Donald Trump has had no noteworthy influence on local development, and non-energy sectors have sustained their robust momentum," said Oxford Economics. It added: "On the other hand, oil production has actually slowly increased, supplying an increase to the area's economies. We anticipate GCC growth will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center said that financial growth in the area is set to speed up to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of overall GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the region's ongoing progress towards diversification. According to Oxford Economics, GCC customers will be standout entertainers in 2026 and are expected to outshine their worldwide peers.

In December, the IMF even more stated that heading inflation is anticipated to stay below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and a little above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is expected to stay raised in the GCC region throughout 2026, as access to financial services is anticipated to grow and loaning is forecasted to be supported by further cuts in rates of interest."Owing to their currency pegs to the US dollar, GCC main banks are anticipated to follow the US Federal Reserve by reducing monetary policy even more, which in turn will reduce financial obligation servicing expenses and boost disposable income and need," stated the report.